FACT CHECK #LNMEBUMA

WHAT WE FOUND

High-credibility data from the FBI and academic researchers directly contradicts the claim that crime has doubled since 2020. Official statistics show that the rate of violent crime, murder, rape, robbery, and aggravated assault all declined between 2020 and 2023 2. While 2020 experienced a historic 31% increase in homicides, this was a specific single-year spike that has since undergone a remarkable reversal, with overall reductions in violence continuing through 2025 8 10. Even at the 2020 peak, violent crime rates remained near 2010 levels and were significantly lower than the historical peaks seen in the early 1990s 4 7 9. Comprehensive reports for 2024 and 2025 confirm a sustained downward trend in criminal offenses rather than a doubling 3 8 10. Historical references to crime doubling typically refer to the period between 1960 and 1991, not the current decade 7.

SOURCES

1. 1 · crim.sas.upenn.eduFACT-CHECKER
   Is Violent Crime Increasing? | Department of Criminology

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2. 2 · factcheck.orgFACT-CHECKER
   Crime Stats Still Show a Decline Since 2020 - FactCheck.org

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3. 3 · fbi.govACADEMIC
   FBI Releases 2024 Reported Crimes in the Nation Statistics | Federal Bureau of Investigation

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4. 4 · katv.comFACT-CHECKER
   Fact Check Team: Is crime on the rise in the United States?

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5. 5 · brennancenter.orgACADEMIC
   Myths and Realities: Understanding Recent Trends in Violent Crime | Brennan Center for Justice

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6. 6 · bbc.comNEWS
   What latest FBI data shows about violent crime

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7. 7 · en.wikipedia.orgWEB
   Crime in the United States - Wikipedia

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8. 8 · counciloncj.orgWEB
   Crime Trends in U.S. Cities: Year-End 2025 Update - Council on Criminal Justice

   TIER B

9. 9 · ourworldindata.orgWEB
   How have crime rates in the United States changed over the last 50 years? | Our World in Data

   TIER B

10. 10 · govfacts.orgWEB
    US Crime Statistics: What 10 Years of Data Shows | GovFacts

    TIER B