MEBRO
FACT CHECK #SHNDIHEF
06/09/26 · 12:12 PM UTC · 11 SOURCES
EXHIBIT A
What you submitted
“When compared against Nithya Raman's prior top-three share of 29.7%, the odds of her receiving 44.1% in the latest drop are about 1 in 10^877.”
TL;DR ·The provided sources contain no evidence for the specific percentages or the statistical probability.
WHAT WE FOUND
The provided sources do not mention the specific percentages of 29.7% or 44.1% referenced in the claim [1-11]. Although reports confirm Nithya Raman won 40% of the votes in a ballot count reported on June 6, 2026 , there is no documentation of a 44.1% figure for any specific drop. Crucially, none of the 11 sources provide a mathematical analysis or cite the odds of Raman's surge as being 1 in 10^877 . The sources instead attribute her shift in the standings to the ongoing processing of mail-in ballots and describe it as a legitimate, though tight, progression in the election results . No source provides the statistical probability mentioned in the claim .
SOURCES
- 1 · deadline.comWEBNithya Raman Overtakes Spencer Pratt In L.A. Mayor Race, Latest ...
TIER B
- 2 · latimes.comWEBSpencer Pratt third as Nithya Raman surges ahead in L.A. mayor race
TIER B
- 3 · nypost.comWEBDramatic shift in LA mayoral candidates' odds of winning as ballot ...
TIER B
- 4 · nbclosangeles.comWEBNithya Raman advances to LA mayor's runoff with Karen Bass
TIER B
- 5 · ktla.comWEBNithya Raman within 1% of Spencer Pratt in L.A. mayor's race | KTLA
TIER B
- 6 · union-bulletin.comWEBDoes Nithya Raman still have a chance in LA's mayoral race ...
TIER B
- 7 · yahoo.comWEBNithya Raman Inches Within 1% of Spencer Pratt After Winning 40 ...
TIER B
- 8 · newsweek.comWEBSocialist's Odds Surge in LA Mayor Race as Spencer Pratt Attacks ...
TIER B
- 9 · nytimes.comNEWSNithya Raman Overtakes Spencer Pratt in Race for L.A. Mayor
TIER A
- 10 · nbcnews.comWEBNithya Raman leaps past Spencer Pratt in tight race to make L.A. ...
TIER B
- 11 · sg.news.yahoo.comWEBNithya Raman Inches Within 1% of Spencer Pratt After Winning 40 ...
TIER B
CHECK #______
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