MEBRO

FACT CHECK #BNM-TP25

06/01/26 · 9:59 PM UTC · 8 SOURCES

EXHIBIT A

What you submitted

MichaeloKeeffe claims the foreign-born population of Sweden rose from 5.3% in Jan 2001 to 20.8% in Jan 2025.
FALSE

TL;DR ·Sweden's foreign-born population grew, but the claim's starting percentage for 2001 is factually incorrect.

WHAT WE FOUND

Hello! I'm happy to help you look into these statistics. While it is true that Sweden has experienced a significant increase in its foreign-born population, the figures provided in this claim are not accurate. Official data indicates that the foreign-born share of the population was already much higher than 5.3% in 2001 . According to records, that share had already reached 16.8% by 2015 and climbed to 18.3% only a year later . By 2023, the number of foreign-born residents had grown to 2.17 million , which makes the estimate of 20.8% for early 2025 appear quite realistic. However, by using an incorrectly low starting point for 2001, the claim makes the growth appear far more extreme than it was in reality. While Sweden did see a record-breaking number of arrivals during the 2015 migration peak , official statistics from the SCB confirm the population shift started from a baseline roughly double what the claim suggests .

SOURCES

  1. 1 · pewresearch.orgACADEMIC
    Immigrant share of population jumps in some European countries

    TIER A

  2. 2 · factcheck.orgFACT-CHECKER
    Don't get spun by internet rumors. - FactCheck.org

    TIER A

  3. 3 · americanaffairsjournal.orgACADEMIC
    Sweden's Ambivalence on Immigration - American Affairs Journal

    TIER A

  4. 4 · statista.comWEB
    Sweden foreign born population 2025 - Statista

    TIER B

  5. 5 · reuters.comFACT-CHECKER
    Reuters Fact Check

    TIER A

  6. 6 · scb.seWEB
    Population statistics - SCB

    TIER B

  7. 7 · migrationpolicy.orgWEB
    Sweden | migrationpolicy.org

    TIER B

  8. 8 · snopes.comFACT-CHECKER
    Snopes.com: What's New

    TIER A

VERDICT TOTALFALSE
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